Global Warming VS Global Cooling and Greenpeace

[fsw]

For the sake of this bit - lets assume the following.

1) Global Warming is real - undeniable - man is responsible.


Don't care if you think it is or not - for the next bit - you do.


Now lets consider somethings

1) Its estimated at the current rates or use, and growth in use - if this trend did not evern stop until the last drop of oil was out of the ground ... we have between 40 and 50 years left. The only thing that would probably be wrong with the estimation is that the growth in use is going to grow even faster as China, India, etc catch up with the West.

Good balanced reference - http://www.usatoday.com/news/world/2...shortage_x.htm


2) Regardless of the exact time frame of the amount of oil left - its clear that we are not talking a long period of time. Being that when Americans panic - the world comes along fro the ride - when Prudhoe Bay goes belly up - oil is going to spike in a big way. Thats in the next few years.

Another reference - accounting for both 1 and 2. http://www.energyandcapital.com/arti...on-prudhoe/254

3) No reference here - just common sense. Somewhere between now - and when we would run out of oil - oil will no longer be economically viable for the use as it is now. I would guess it to be somewhere around when we have about 20 years supply left.

Natural supply and demand is the second and obvious reason. (first is in #2) Demand will far exceed supply.

Oil prices will soar - and I really do believe - soar to heights we can not even imagine. You have many products that are dependent on oil as an ingredient - products that can absorb a much higher cost of oil than day to day use can. That is the third reason.

Governments will begin stockpilling it in amounts that dwarf what we see today. There is no military in the world that can take a chance with being in a war 40 years later and having nothing to fill the tanks of their fighters. Thats reason number four.

Reason number five - is completely artificial. That being short term investors competing with long term corporation investment. The short term being obviously the buy/sell now type - the long term looking at 50, 100, and even longer style of investments. As it becomes more and more of an expensive, very limited commodity - you are going to see more and more of it bought and stuck in private holding tanks - to sit - and wait. Doesnt cost that much money to dig a hole - throw some storage in - and put a parking lot on top of it.


... ok - so we got maybe 20-25 years of oil under 10 dollars US a gallon left. If we are lucky.


Ok - now lets take that info and think about it.

Just to throw out a common link - but good enough for here - http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Kyoto_Protocol

You can also just search on the net and find more references that back up this next part than you could ever read.


... so here it is.

Nothing that has been agreed to or proposed and is being seriously considered has any real effect on Greenhouse gases or otherwise.

The amount of effect that they have is completely offset by the fact that over 1/2 of the worlds emmissions come from exempt countries... and including countries like the US that are not on board with the latest things like Kyoto - thats nearly 75% of the worlds Greenhouse gases.


So - now lets throw in the last bit on this.

I have seen that for the low low cost of only 1% of the Worlds GDP - we can implement all these ideas and suggestions that will have very little effect overall on the issuue.

Thats it just 1 penny on the dollar. Not a bad price you have to admit.



That leaves us with two options as I see it.


A) Find someone that is going to fork over 450 Billion bucks so we can do a good deed - pat ourselves on the back - we saved the world... and then even pat ourselves in harder on the back because --- -see - nobody uses Oil anymore --- since its 59.99 a gallon at the local Esso (I figure that in 20 to 30 years Esso will be listing its prices in dollars )

or

B) Do nothing - and still run out of Oil - and still be forced into another fuel source. The do nothing plan effects nothing in terms of our Greenhouse gases we release - because nothing proposed, agreed to - or otherwise does anything like that anyway - and it has the one advantage of we do not need Santa to show up with 450 Billion bucks.



....... Personally - I will take plan B.


(oh - coal power plants.... as soon as many of the same environmental groups that are screaming about Global Warming stop doing everything in their power to prevent the construction of Nuclear Power Plants.... this will be a non issue and take care of itself)

.. and damnit - I was just looking for something else - completley unrelated - how the heck did I just send up writing a post for an hour here on this