Best to post the whole code the issue which might be causing the problem could be anywhere...
The issue might also be related to your site's traffic. The way vbulletin runs scheduled tasks is by displaying the image cronimage.gif within the footer template whenever a page in your forums loads (or is refreshed). If the forum doesn't have enough traffic to exec all scheduled tasks, then it could simply be a, issue of the scheduled task hasn't yet been tole to run.
Check your scheduled tasks log within Admincp and see if the scheduled tasks are all caught up
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