Each page has it's own URL so if someone tweets page 2 people will be linked directly to the second page... the page # can be removed from the canonical link expression so it's always the first page that gets tweeted, but that could hurt the SEO of your forums because you giving the link to a different page then the actual content it on...If someone tweets page 2 instead of page 1 maybe the 'good' post is on the 2nd page anyway.
If it's 'fixing itself' it sounds like a Twitter server issue not keeping up with the counts... this is still new to them so maybe they will figure it out.
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